How national RTO trends are affecting the parking industry.

By
Justin Ferrara
March 12, 2026
5 min read
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If you own or operate a parking asset near an office district, you've probably noticed a shift in the last few years as return-to-office (RTO) picks up. More demand mid week, with quieter Mondays and Fridays, and a customer mix that looks different from 2019. When looking at demand trends, we often hear this from our partners: "I thought RTO would bring my customers back. Why hasn't it?"

In reality, it might have, but not in the way you expected. 

In many cases, RTO isn't a clean, consistent rewind to 2019. Instead, we’re seeing a new pattern with different peaks, customer types, and slow times. Operators who understand this shift are capturing real upside, but those waiting for the old normal will miss the opportunity to improve performance.

We pulled the most recent data on office occupancy, employer mandates, and regional trends to give you a clearer picture of what's actually happening and what it means for your specific asset.

Quick takeaways on RTO and parking demand:

  • U.S. office attendance rose 5.6% year over year in 2025, the highest post-pandemic level recorded. Visits are still about 32% below pre-COVID norms
  • Financial services, government, and professional services are driving the strongest in-person returns. Tech remains the most variable industry
  • Three days a week in the office is now the most common employer requirement, and fully flexible "come when you want" policies dropped from 39% to 28% between 2023 and 2024
  • Tuesday and Wednesday now carry the heaviest office traffic nationally. Fridays sit at roughly 37% of pre-pandemic levels
  • The parking assets gaining traction in this environment use dynamic pricing, flexible products, and parking management systems built for a variable week rather than a flat five-day one

Let’s take a closer look at the current data and what it means for the parking industry.

The current state of RTO, nationally.

Office attendance is recovering, but it hasn't come close to 2019 levels. Attendance reached a high in December 2025 with a 56.3% weekly average across ten major metros. This mark was up from the mid-30% range earlier in the 2020s as corporate policies were still in flux.

More importantly, the recovery is not evenly distributed across a typical work week:

  • Tuesday and Wednesday generate the heaviest office traffic nationally
  • Monday attendance varies significantly by market, driven largely by commute conditions in driving-heavy cities (e.g., weather, traffic, events, holidays, etc.) and industry concentration
  • Friday sits at roughly 37% of pre-pandemic foot traffic

Employee proximity to the office is also reshaping who actually shows up. This pattern directly affects which parking assets benefit the most from RTO trends:

  • Since 2019, office visits from workers commuting less than five miles have increased steadily
  • Visits from workers commuting 10 to 25 miles have declined
  • Assets close to dense employment clusters are in a stronger position; those relying on long-distance suburban commuters are fighting poorer density and longer  distances

Overall, remote work continues to gradually decline. The share of U.S. workers fully remote fell from 15.7% in 2023 to 13.45% in 2024. Most of the workforce is spending at least some time in the office. The key question for your asset is which days drive traffic, for which employers, in which markets.

Top 10 metro areas leading the RTO trend.

RTO Tables
Rank Metro Key Industries & Employers RTO Signal
1 New York City (Northeast) Finance, legal, Amazon, professional services Office visits roughly 5 to 12% below 2019, closest to pre-COVID of any major market; Tuesdays and Wednesdays are now busier than April 2019; Manhattan vacancy fell from peak
2 Miami (Southeast) Finance, tech influx, professional services 79.1% office utilization; lowest vacancy of major markets at roughly 12 to 14%; posted year over year visit gains through Winter Storm Fern while most markets declined
3 Houston (South) Energy, corporate HQs, AT&T Hitting roughly 65% of pre-pandemic levels; peak-day Tuesday utilization exceeded 74.8%; 17.2% year over year visit increase in June 2025
4 Washington, D.C. (Mid-Atlantic) Federal agencies, contractors, professional services Record post-pandemic high at 51.5% weekly occupancy in Jan 2025; 3.2% year over year visit increase in Jan 2026; accelerated by federal RTO executive order
5 Dallas Fort Worth (South) Diversified corporate base, financial services, tech relocations 2.2M sq ft of positive absorption in 2025, 3rd highest nationally; year over year visit increases in May 2025 tied to population growth and corporate relocations
6 Atlanta (Southeast) AT&T, Southern Company, professional services 9.1% year over year gain in office visits in Jan 2026, 3rd highest among major cities; outperformed national average in April and June 2025
7 Boston (Northeast) Life sciences, higher ed, finance Lowest vacancy tier nationally at 12.5%; lease rates up 25.8% year over year; 3.1% year over year office visit growth in Aug 2025, above national average
8 Chicago (Midwest) Trading, legal, banking (Loop), JPMorgan Chase Strongest year over year office visit growth of any tracked city in Aug 2025 at 12.5%; peak-day Tuesday occupancy roughly 70.4% in finance submarkets
9 Denver (Mountain) Diversified economy, tech, energy Visit gaps of 43.5 to 46.6% below 2019 through early 2025; demand turned positive only in Q4 2025, one of the later recoveries among major markets
10 San Francisco (West Coast) Tech (hybrid-heavy), AI companies Vacancy down in 2025, among the largest improvements nationally; AI sector leasing driving recovery; led year over year growth in June and Aug 2025 despite lowest absolute attendance nationally

RTO momentum looks quite different across regions. While finance, government, and professional services hubs are recovering the fastest, tech-heavy markets are coming back a bit more slowly and less predictably. 

Seasonality matters, too. Since 2024, Q2 and Q3 have consistently outperformed Q1 and Q4, with winter weather and extended holiday travel dragging down early-year numbers in ways that don't show up neatly in annual averages.

The large metro areas leading RTO recovery share one characteristic: they're outperforming because finance, legal, and professional services firms have large footprints and aggressive mandates.

San Francisco sits at the other end nationally with around 45 to 48% utilization, leaving a lot of space either underutilized or totally vacant. But office vacancy dropped in 2025, showing one of the largest single-year improvements in the country, driven by AI companies signing leases in corridors that sat empty for years. Atlanta posted a 9.1% year-over-year gain in office visits in January 2026, ranking third among major cities for post-pandemic recovery.

Industries with the highest RTO mandates.

The pressure behind RTO is split pretty clearly by industry, and the knock-on effects for parking demand vary widely.

RTO Tables
Industry Typical RTO Stance RTO Impact on Parking
Financial Services & Insurance JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon, RBC, and HSBC all moved to four or five days on-site by late 2025; by Q2 2025 a majority of Fortune 100 employees were under full-time mandates, up from 5% in Q2 2023 Drives classic rush-hour commuting; Tuesday through Thursday peaks are more predictable; supports high midweek transient volumes
Government & Public Sector Federal agencies tightened following January 2025 executive order; Washington D.C. hit a record post-pandemic occupancy high the same month; state governments including Minnesota and Ontario also moved to four or more days on-site Adds a reliable Monday through Friday base of weekday demand in capitals and regional hubs
Professional Services (Legal, Consulting, Accounting) 43% of U.S. companies now have set office schedules, more than double early 2023 levels; most firms run formal three or four day hybrids with strong preference for in-person collaboration Sustains high-value commuter demand around courts, financial districts, and Class A towers
Manufacturing, Energy & Logistics Ford, Toyota, and 3M shifted from two to three day hybrids to four days on-site in Sept 2025; corporate and administrative staff are being pulled back alongside operational roles that were always on-site Campus and industrial-adjacent parking stays consistently utilized; shift-based schedules create early morning and late evening peaks
Tech & Software Amazon moved to five days, Google reinforced three days, while many mid-sized firms remain remote-first; tech companies make up roughly 70% of the fully remote workforce; Microsoft is rolling out a three-day minimum globally through early 2026 Markets see real gains but high day-to-day variability; attendance is highly sensitive to individual company policy changes
Coworking & Flex Office Flex space share of total office inventory reached 2.2% in 2025; coworking operators added over 1,000 new locations; 73% of companies expect people-to-desk ratios above 1.5:1 by 2027, pushing more teams toward flex space Generates short-duration visits with high turnover; demand is fragmented across more small teams rather than one anchor tenant

Employer size is also important, and companies with 10,000 or more employees are making the most visible moves back to in-person work. Envoy's 2025 data shows office visit growth at these firms outpacing mid-sized peers pretty handily. 

By Q2 2025, a majority of Fortune 100 employees had full-time in-office mandates, up from just 5% in Q2 2023. Of course, these larger workforces also increase traffic at surrounding businesses, from restaurants to convenience stores and retail outlets. 

Smaller firms mostly follow hybrid patterns with more variation and less enforcement. They’re filling in the demand that anchor industries create, but they’re not often driving the demand independently.

How to respond.

With this context in-hand, the next obvious question is: so what? If you want concrete strategies for adjusting pricing, products, and operations to match these RTO patterns, continue with our follow‑up on four ways parking demand is changing in response.

Justin Ferrara
Justin is a Senior Data & BizOps Analyst at AirGarage, responsible for building and scaling data operations across the company. He plays a crucial role in analyzing and optimizing the data that drives AirGarage's business decisions.

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